We hitting double digits y’all! That means the frauds in the reality show contest that is the BCS Championship are weeded out week by week in a battle for said BCS Championship…They should just dim the lights, flip to 4-5 different camera angles, and play “serious” music before allowing teams to go down.

Posted at 6:00pm on Friday November 6, 2009…

2) The Oregon Letdown Commences! – I’m not predicting a loss by the Quack, but if history mixed with science tell me anything, Oregon is due for one WTF game a year, and I guarentee (sic) Boise WASN’T that game. I’m a freaking Oracle…it’s coming.

So, how shocked was I when I walked into The Swamp Restaraunt and Bar at 5pm on Saturday and saw that score? Thus, the tragic history that is the Quack.

I didn’t get to answer your question…

knightwhosaysni:
November 6th, 2009 at 7:23 pm
Still disbelieving in Oregon huh?

Yes.

It’s official…GatorTrey needs a new hobby that doesn’t include bookmarking comments at Sparty & Friends.  Regardless, I think we’ve finally found a suitable replacement for Nostradamus.  I have a few questions about 2012, when you’ve got a minute, Trey…

That being said, fear not Eugene, OR…You still control your destiny to Pasadena. Just win out (although Arizona looks like a toughie).

The remaining schedule looks winnable…for the Ducks: Arizona State, at Arizona, and Oregon State.  But, of course, so did Stanford. 

Which averts another national crisis…No, Oregon should not be ranked above the team who is undefeated and beat them head-to-head…You can breathe easy and eat your potatoes in peace now, Boise.

I had little-to-no problem with the Ducks being ranked over the Broncos last week…based on knowing the history of, and having somewhat of an understanding of, poll dynamics.  There’s always the saying when analyzing college football rankings that it’s better to lose early in the season than late.  Oregon’s loss to Boise St. was the perfect example of this.  Boise plays an extremely weak overall schedule, mostly because of its conference.  Oregon plays a BCS conference schedule (i.e. stronger), and lost its only game of the season on the road to a good team.  That team just happened to be Boise.  So, head-to-head, there’s no question that Boise was the better team, and they get the Brownie points for that.  But, after considering the elapsed time (about 8 weeks) between the head-to-head matchup and Oregon’s domination over Southern Cal, Oregon became a consistently better team and had the benefit of teams above them losing and dropping in the polls while they kept winning and steadily climbed the rankings ladder.  In the meantime, the voters stalled Boise between #4 and #5…why?  Because of the weak teams they were playing.  They didn’t deserve to be ranked higher than the teams above them, who were also undefeated and had traveled tougher roads.  So, when the Ducks inched closer to the Broncos in the polls, and then trounced a top 5 team…voila, the head-to-head Brownie points didn’t matter as much.  Thank goodness I didn’t have to type up the explanation for Oregon being ranked higher than Boise State.  Broncos > Ducks…fin.

“One thing they know about me is that I never change.” - I figured that out when you lost to Navy…twice.

You knew it was coming…Iowa’s string of close wins finally got them. While Iowa played far from their best game of the season, Northwestern seemed to take advantage of everything that Iowa gave them.

Iowa’s loss of Stanzi was unfortunate..like the legs of that waitress who brought me Miller Lite instead of Bud.  Injuries are a part of football. You cannot name one team that hasn’t had to deal with it at one point. Ask Oklahoma. You think they have four losses with Sam Bradford? Probably not. It sucks, and I HATE seeing Iowa’s season take a step back because of it.  But, you have to move on, and a Rose Bowl berth is RIGHT there with a win next Saturday.

But like trannie, it can go both ways…Ask Cincinnati if losing their starting quarterback killed their season?

Of course, it again comes down to those Buckeyes…With their dominating win at Penn State, Ohio State is in prime position to win the Big Televen…again. There is no denying they have the conference by the nutsack.

This coming weekend is for all the Big Ten marbles…even if they are really slow marbles that throw like a girl.  Both Iowa and Ohio State are 5-1 in the conference with this coming weekend’s head-to-head matchup-which I have officially christened “The ‘Eyes Bowl”-and one final game the next weekend for each (Michigan for the Buckeyes and Minny for the Hawkeyes).  The next two teams in the conference standings are Penn State and Wisconsin, both at 4-2.  Also, both the Nittany Lions and Badgers two losses are to Iowa and Ohio State.  So, this weekend’s ‘Eyes Bowl is for outright Big Televen domination and Rose Bowl invitation.  Welcome to the longest week and biggest game of your life, James Vandenberg.

“One thing they know about me is that I never change.” -  Starting the Hamburgler at Cornerback proves that.

The trick is to bite down very hard on this piece of wood…If you would have bet me a large some of money that Oklahoma would be looking at the real possibility of a 6-6 regular season back in August, I would have bet my usual ”vital body part” vs. your cash.

You can only really blame this one on Bob Stoops so much…when the Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback comes back for one more season, it’s supposed to be on par with, or even better than the previous season, right?  RIGHT!?  At least, that’s what Pete Carroll and Urban Meyer told Bob.

It only took them THREE years…On that same note, I laughed at the mere thought of Bill Synder riding in on  a white horse to fix the program that he spent decades building and watched crumble in three short years. With two games left, there is a shot that the Wildcats could win the Big 12 North…

“One thing they know about me is that I never change.” -  Krakatoa doesn’t sound so bad now does it?

Yes! They’re human, but if they were robuts!…Yes, the SEC refs got another one wrong. Only this time it was a replay that they SHOULD have gotten right, but I don’t see an LSU team that couldn’t move the ball minus Jordan Jefferson and Charles Scott getting into the endzone…and Les Miles knew this.

“And, when the doctor said I didn’t have worms any more, that was the happiest day of my life”…You have to wonder if the whole “SEC Refs” thing is starting to take their toll on the SEC refs. I mean they’re now under the microscope of every college football fan, each waiting for the next Ralph Wiggum moment to grace their TV set.

I’ll set the direct scene: defacto playoff game…LSeaUx has one loss-to the top ranked Gators, no less-and is playing Bammer, who is undefeated.  Both teams reside in the SEC West.  If the Tigeauxrs win, both teams have one conference loss, but LSeaUx owns the tie-breaker over Bammer.  That puts LSeaUx in the driver’s seat for a rematch against the top-ranked Gators in Atlanta for the SEC Championship.  There’s no reason to think that a 1-loss LSeaUx team wouldn’t be playing for the BCS national championship if they were to win the SEC Championship over an undefeated Florida team.  Now, behind the scenes is a recent history of these three teams being on the good side of the receiving end of some questionable officiating.  And, consider the unprecedented suspension of the crew that officiated both the UGA-LSeaUx game and the Florida-Arkiesaw game…the spotlight is firmly on the referees and off of the action on the field as soon as one questionable penalty flag is tossed or one whistle blow is iffy.  Negative attention perpetuates negative activity.  I firmly believe this is the situation with the SEC referees this season.  Usually, they are considered some of the best officiating crews, but the negative attention and pressure put an added weight on big calls that have greater implication than should really be there.  It seemed obvious from the replays that LSeaUx cleanly intercepted Bammer.  I have no idea why the refs couldn’t see that…but I’m gonna keep my mouth shut and my fingers still so I’m not $30k lighter in the wallet (/snickers at Herban Meyer). 

“One thing they know about me is that I never change.” - Two words…Lap Band.

Oh ya, the Irish…Jimmy Clausen is very good. Golden Tate is very good. Michael Floyd is very good. The rest of the Irish are terrible. There is no run game. The defense looks like it’s eight on eleven. Is it time for Charlie to step back and re-evaluate the way he runs things in South Bend? You bet your ass (or your “vital body part”?). Charlie Weis has zero signature wins with the Irish. He’ll probably win 8 games this year and still take a step back.  They’re well beyond “Tyrone’s kids” and well into “Charlie’s kids”, and next fall many of those studs are probably going to be playing on Sundays.

Yeah, yeah, Chuck Weis is a big dude and can likely put some food away…but has any coach ever eaten more crow about one comment than Weis has over his “strategic advantage” blurb?  I’d venture to guess not.  I’m not ruling the possibility out, but seeing how high profile the Notre Dame program is, it would be tough to find a relative situation with such an arrogant comment and no results backing it up.  By the way, speaking of 2012, did you know Notre Dame and Navy will be playing in Dublin?  No, not Dublin, Ohio…Dublin, Ireland.  They last did it in 1996.

It’s Third Best! Think about it! There are TWO other teams in this state that WISH they could be us…Rich Rodriguez is now squarely under fire at Michigan and not making a bowl could severly jeopardize the flock of doves he brought with him to Ann Arbor. I remember going through this at Florida, it doesn’t matter if you need time to build a program, you’re not going to get it. Win now, or move on. While I think Rich will get one more year, that gig he had in West Virginia sure is looking cushy at this point…especially with Michigan Alum Jim Harbaugh sittin’ right there.

I’m not taking it to the bank just yet, but pretty close…My sources tell me Tommy Tuberville is your next coach in Louisville.

Urban Meyer to Notre Dame…you can take that to the bank.

On Friday I almost took it…Well not really, but when Spencer posted a line for the Houston/Tusla game at+1.5 I thought it was nuts, until that 51 yard field goal gave Houston the one point lead..Further proof that those guys in Vegas aren’t stupid.

 Because  a win over Houston put you on the map…What the hell was George O’Leary thinking Saturday? Sit two of your better offensive players so they DON’T get hurt agianst 2nd ranked Texas so you can save them for the Houston game this week?

Dear UCF,

The reason USF is so well respected is because they’ve beaten schools like Texas before. By giving up before taking the field so you can make sure your chances of winning the Conference-USA are still there is so weak that you should pay for the tickets, flight, and hotel of every fan that flew to Austin to see their Knights step onto the field with a juggarnaut. Remember you had these guys shitting themselves on the sidelines two years ago.

Sincerely,

GatorTrey

If that is the attitude George O’Leary is taking I’d can him immediately and turn the program over to someone who has a set of nuggets.

S&F Ranking Analysis:
Well, well, well…plenty of big drops and gains as a result of this past weekend, especially in the top 10.  Obviously, the big losers were Iowa, Oregon, Penn State, and Notre Dame (out of the polls completely).  Refer to the below table (click twice on the graphic to enlarge to full size…two clicks, not a double-click):

Immediate Observations…Some interesting things happened between the last 4th quarter reaching 00:00 Saturday night and votes being cast and computer equations calculated…one team lost and INCREASED its ranking.  Seems bizarre, right?  Well, it is, but it isn’t.  LSeaUx was ranked #9 across the board after last week’s games.  Above the Tigeauxrs were Iowa and Oregon.  All three of these teams lost…Iowa to a previously 5-4 Northwestern and Oregon to a previously 5-3 Stanford.  Neither of these winners was in the same ballpark as LSeaUx’s opponent, #3 Bammer (8-0 entering the weekend).  LSU lost a close game, somewhat as a result of a questionable officiating call, while Oregon lost by double digits in a 93-total point shootout and Iowa lost by merely one score, but suffered a greater loss in QB Ricky Stanzi.  Looking at those results in a nutshell, it’s justifiable that Oregon and Iowa would drop more spots than LSeaUx since their losses were worse.  We also must look at the teams previously ranked below LSeaUx that could have jumped them with a win:

 - Penn State – lost to Ohio State…out of the discussion.
 - Georgia Tech – DID jump LSeaUx with its win over Wake Forest.
 - USC – another 2-loss team that is only two weeks removed from a blowout from the team that just got beat by Stanford (we’re talking about Oregon here).
 - Ohio State – another 2-loss team fighting its way back up the rankings just a handfull of weeks removed from losing to a previously 1-5 Purdue team.

So, you see, it’s not inconceivable that LSeaUx would lose and GAIN ground in the BCS.  Nobody not considered a Rambling Wreck was anywhere around to take advantage of the Tigeauxrs’ loss to Bammer. 

And that, my friends, is 289 words on why LSeaUx lost, and won, at the same time.

By the way, if you plan on getting your panties is a wad over TCU hurdling Cincinnati, do yourself a favor and don’t…they’re virtually tied.  Check out the BCS Average (the “score” associated with each team that results in the BCS standings).  You’ll see that TCU currently has a BCS Average = 0.862 while Cincy has a BCS Average = 0.858…a difference of merely 0.004 points in TCU’s favor.  Now, check out last week’s BCS Average…TCU BCS Average = 0.8007 and Cincy BCS Average = 0.8033…a difference of 0.0026 in Cincy’s favor.  TCU gained only 0.0066 points on Cincy and that was enough to jump the Horned Frogs from one spot below the Bearcats to one spot above.  Again, this dance is a virtual tie, and will likely bounce around more based on each teams’ performance along with minutia like the performance of every one of each teams’ opponents.  There’s still several weeks left in this back-and-forth…don’t get your panties in a wad.

Thanks for joining us again this week, and stick around for more TWTWCFB features throughout the week.

What he said…

Week 10 Contributors: GatorTrey, Mizerle06.

Popularity: 2% [?]